All Cause Mortality
Released: November 2015.
Sample: Residents 0 and over in the KFL&A area.
Data Sources:
- Ontario Mortality Data 1986 to 2011, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, IntelliHEALTH ONTARIO, Date Extracted: Oct. 28, 2015.
- Population Estimates 1986 to 2011, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, IntelliHEALTH ONTARIO, Date Extracted: Oct. 28, 2015.
- Population Projections 2012 to 2016, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care, IntelliHEALTH ONTARIO, Date Extracted: Oct. 28, 2015.
|
Number of deaths by sex and age group, in KFL&A, from 2007 to 2011 |
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Interpretation: Table 1 displays the number of deaths in KFL&A over a 5 year period, from 2007 to 2011. In this time period, there were over 8000 deaths, which averages out to almost 1700 deaths per year. About 80% of all deaths occurred in those aged 65 and over.
Figure 1. Crude deaths rates per 100,000 population by sex, in KFL&A, 1986 to 2011.
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| Age standardized deaths rates per 100,000 population by sex, in KFL&A and Ontario, 1986 to 2011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Figure 2. Age standardized deaths rates per 100,000 population by sex, in KFL&A and Ontario, 1986 to 2011. |
|
Year |
KFL&A Males Rate per 100,000 (95% Confidence interval) |
KFL&A Females Rate per 100,000 (95% Confidence interval) |
KFL&A Total Rate per 100,000 (95% Confidence interval) |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1986 |
948.7 (874.8, 1022.6) |
564.6 (517.7, 611.6) |
725 (684.4, 765.7) |
|
1987 |
998.6 (924.2, 1073) |
619.4 (571, 667.9) |
781.7 (740.1, 823.3) |
|
1988 |
956.6 (884.6, 1028.6) |
568.7 (522.9, 614.5) |
725 (685.5, 764.4) |
|
1989 |
959.2 (888.6, 1029.8) |
581.6 (536, 627.3) |
733.8 (694.8, 772.8) |
|
1990 |
920.8 (853.1, 988.6) |
556.7 (512.9, 600.6) |
718.1 (680, 756.2) |
|
1991 |
962.1 (894, 1030.2) |
593.7 (548.9, 638.6) |
748.5 (710.3, 786.7) |
|
1992 |
941 (874.6, 1007.4) |
562.7 (519.9, 605.6) |
718.1 (681.4, 754.9) |
|
1993 |
899.4 (835.3, 963.5) |
538.7 (497.6, 579.7) |
687.6 (652.2, 723) |
|
1994 |
898.8 (835.5, 962.1) |
565.1 (523.2, 607) |
701.9 (666.5, 737.3) |
|
1995 |
928.8 (865.5, 992.1) |
558.2 (517.1, 599.4) |
712 (676.7, 747.2) |
|
1996 |
905.7 (843.6, 967.8) |
554.4 (514.4, 594.5) |
700.8 (666.3, 735.3) |
|
1997 |
920.5 (858.6, 982.4) |
567.5 (527.2, 607.8) |
714.9 (680.4, 749.5) |
|
1998 |
915.3 (854.3, 976.2) |
593 (551.9, 634.2) |
728.8 (694.2, 763.4) |
|
1999 |
913.2 (853.2, 973.2) |
559 (519.4, 598.5) |
705.1 (671.4, 738.8) |
|
2000 |
842.8 (785.4, 900.3) |
556.3 (518.1, 594.6) |
685.8 (652.9, 718.6) |
|
2001 |
825.6 (769.1, 882.2) |
568.5 (529.3, 607.6) |
676.3 (643.9, 708.7) |
|
2002 |
749.7 (696.7, 802.6) |
556.3 (518.2, 594.4) |
637.2 (606.3, 668.1) |
|
2003 |
792.4 (739.2, 845.5) |
478.5 (443.4, 513.5) |
610.4 (580.4, 640.3) |
|
2004 |
707.3 (657.7, 757) |
511.7 (475.5, 547.9) |
591.8 (562.6, 621) |
|
2005 |
762.7 (711.3, 814.2) |
463.3 (429.8, 496.9) |
591.9 (562.7, 621) |
|
2006 |
699.7 (651.6, 747.7) |
456 (422.6, 489.4) |
560 (532.2, 587.8) |
|
2007 |
661.1 (615.1, 707.1) |
494.1 (459.7, 528.6) |
593 (564.6, 621.4) |
|
2008 |
714 (667.2, 760.8) |
487.5 (453.3, 521.6) |
584.8 (556.9, 612.7) |
|
2009 |
679.7 (634.6, 724.8) |
447.6 (415.3, 479.9) |
549.5 (522.7, 576.2) |
|
2010 |
745.2 (698.6, 791.9) |
451.4 (419.7, 483.1) |
582.1 (554.9, 609.3) |
|
2011 |
607.1 (565, 649.1) |
445.3 (413.1, 477.6) |
517.3 (491.5, 543.1) |
|
Year |
Ontario Males Rate per 100,000 (95% Confidence interval) |
Ontario Females Rate per 100,000 (95% Confidence interval) |
Ontario Total Rate per 100,000 (95% Confidence interval) |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1986 |
970.7 (960.8, 980.6) |
582.9 (576.6, 589.2) |
744.7 (739.2, 750.1) |
|
1987 |
944.3 (934.7, 953.9) |
563.7 (557.7, 569.8) |
722.2 (716.9, 727.5) |
|
1988 |
964.8 (955.2, 974.3) |
565.2 (559.3, 571.2) |
731.1 (725.9, 736.4) |
|
1989 |
921.6 (912.4, 930.7) |
556.5 (550.6, 562.4) |
709.3 (704.2, 714.4) |
|
1990 |
892.4 (883.5, 901.3) |
539.5 (533.8, 545.2) |
688.5 (683.6, 693.4) |
|
1991 |
885.7 (877, 894.4) |
543.1 (537.5, 548.7) |
687.4 (682.6, 692.3) |
|
1992 |
871.8 (863.3, 880.3) |
525.4 (519.9, 530.8) |
671.6 (666.9, 676.4) |
|
1993 |
871.7 (863.3, 880.1) |
536.2 (530.7, 541.7) |
678.6 (673.9, 683.3) |
|
1994 |
866.9 (858.7, 875.2) |
538.2 (532.8, 543.6) |
677.8 (673.1, 682.4) |
|
1995 |
856.7 (848.5, 864.8) |
533.6 (528.3, 538.9) |
669.5 (665, 674.1) |
|
1996 |
842.5 (834.6, 850.5) |
526.1 (520.9, 531.3) |
658.8 (654.3, 663.2) |
|
1997 |
822.2 (814.4, 830) |
518.3 (513.2, 523.4) |
646.6 (642.2, 651) |
|
1998 |
804.7 (797, 812.3) |
512.9 (507.9, 517.9) |
635.3 (631.1, 639.6) |
|
1999 |
796.9 (789.5, 804.4) |
507 (502.1, 511.9) |
628.4 (624.2, 632.6) |
|
2000 |
767.6 (760.4, 774.9) |
496.7 (491.9, 501.6) |
611.3 (607.2, 615.4) |
|
2001 |
737.5 (730.5, 744.4) |
486.7 (481.9, 491.4) |
593 (589, 597) |
|
2002 |
717.7 (711, 724.5) |
478.1 (473.4, 482.8) |
580.7 (576.9, 584.6) |
|
2003 |
718.4 (711.8, 725.1) |
471.3 (466.7, 475.9) |
576.7 (572.9, 580.5) |
|
2004 |
682.7 (676.3, 689.1) |
453.2 (448.8, 457.7) |
552 (548.3, 555.7) |
|
2005 |
669 (662.7, 675.2) |
457.5 (453.1, 461.9) |
549.4 (545.7, 553) |
|
2006 |
658.4 (652.3, 664.5) |
433.6 (429.4, 437.8) |
528.6 (525.1, 532.2) |
|
2007 |
654.5 (648.5, 660.5) |
434.8 (430.6, 439) |
529.1 (525.6, 532.6) |
|
2008 |
638.4 (632.6, 644.2) |
426.5 (422.4, 430.6) |
517.2 (513.8, 520.6) |
|
2009 |
623.7 (618, 629.4) |
415.9 (411.9, 419.9) |
505.4 (502.1, 508.7) |
|
2010 |
604.9 (599.4, 610.4) |
407.6 (403.7, 411.5) |
493.7 (490.4, 496.9) |
|
2011 |
575.7 (570.5, 581) |
398 (394.2, 401.9) |
476.4 (473.2, 479.5) |
Interpretation:
Figure 1 displays the crude mortality rates for KFL&A per 100,000 population. The crude rate of mortality in KFL&A has increased slightly over the last 30 years. Figure 2 displays the age-standardized mortality rates for KFL&A and Ontario per 100,000 population. Age-standardizations adjust or controls for the differences in population structure and provides a single summary measure for comparison of populations. For both KFL&A and Ontario, the age-standardized mortality rates are decreasing. KFL&A's age-standardized mortality rates are slightly, but significantly, higher than Ontario's.
Why are our crude mortality rates increasing and our age-standardized mortality rates decreasing? Age-standardization takes our age-specific mortality rates and applies them to the 1991 Canadian Standard population. So, our age-specific mortality rates may actually decreasing, (for example, the proportion of people aged 65+ dying out of all the people aged 65+ may be decreasing) but the reason our crude mortality rates are increasing is that we have more people in the 65+ age group.
For example, if in 2000, we observed a 5% age-specific mortality rate in those aged 65 to 70, and we had 1000 people in that age category, we would observe 50 deaths. If in 2015, we now observed a 4% age-specific mortality rate in those aged 65 to 70, yet we now had 1500 people in that age category, we would observe that 60 people would die. Thus, we have a decrease in age-specific mortality rate and an increase in crude mortality.
Figure 3 (below) shows that the proportion of our population that is aging is increasing over time. We also know that that age-specific mortality rates increase with increasing age groups. Thus, as our population ages, we will expect to observe a higher mortality rate.
Figure 3. Population pyramids from 1986 to 2016 in KFL&A
Figure 3 displays population pyramids every five years for KFL&A from 1986 to 2016. In 1986, there is a 'bulge' in the population in the 20-34 age group. Some people refer to this bulge as the 'baby boom', a period of greatly increased birth rate following World War Two. Five year later in 1991, the bulge can now be seen in the 25-39 age group. Most recently, in the project population for 2016, the bulge is around the 45-59 age group.
|
Age Group |
1986 Males |
1986 Females |
1991 Males |
1991 Females |
1996 Males |
1996 Females |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
0-4 |
5,149 |
4,838 |
5,793 |
5,539 |
5,619 |
5,450 |
|
5-9 |
5,159 |
4,884 |
5,700 |
5,496 |
5,892 |
5,640 |
|
10-14 |
5,244 |
4,844 |
5,450 |
5,218 |
5,827 |
5,582 |
|
15-19 |
5,978 |
5,641 |
6,041 |
5,462 |
5,967 |
5,631 |
|
20-24 |
8,305 |
7,463 |
7,173 |
6,746 |
7,340 |
6,424 |
|
25-29 |
7,105 |
6,911 |
8,228 |
7,583 |
6,816 |
6,442 |
|
30-34 |
6,575 |
6,467 |
7,639 |
7,597 |
8,122 |
7,422 |
|
35-39 |
5,896 |
5,780 |
6,928 |
6,907 |
7,463 |
7,558 |
|
40-44 |
5,056 |
4,807 |
6,297 |
6,347 |
6,846 |
6,955 |
|
45-49 |
4,142 |
3,898 |
5,115 |
5,050 |
6,292 |
6,397 |
|
50-54 |
3,715 |
3,808 |
4,215 |
4,013 |
5,085 |
5,101 |
|
55-59 |
3,719 |
3,771 |
3,749 |
3,890 |
4,211 |
4,149 |
|
60-64 |
3,451 |
3,951 |
3,721 |
4,005 |
3,882 |
4,010 |
|
65-69 |
2,895 |
3,226 |
3,383 |
4,052 |
3,565 |
3,925 |
|
70-74 |
2,155 |
2,752 |
2,588 |
3,148 |
2,906 |
3,739 |
|
75-79 |
1,363 |
1,986 |
1,717 |
2,411 |
2,048 |
2,757 |
|
80-84 |
713 |
1,319 |
927 |
1,596 |
1,136 |
1,909 |
|
85-89 |
300 |
800 |
401 |
931 |
447 |
1,073 |
|
90+ |
146 |
449 |
145 |
550 |
175 |
653 |
|
Age Group |
2001 Males |
2001 Females |
2006 Males |
2006 Females |
2011 Males |
2011 Females |
2016 Males |
2016 Females |
|
0-4 |
4,835 |
4,739 |
4,677 |
4,308 |
4718 |
4,740 |
4,938 |
4,731 |
|
5-9 |
5,803 |
5,610 |
4,953 |
4,718 |
4,880 |
4,466 |
4,831 |
4,876 |
|
10-14 |
6,012 |
5,692 |
5,937 |
5,729 |
5,214 |
4,866 |
4,941 |
4,507 |
|
15-19 |
6,288 |
6,032 |
6,542 |
6,239 |
6,524 |
6,383 |
5,528 |
5,171 |
|
20-24 |
7,075 |
6,478 |
6,960 |
6,915 |
7,910 |
7,347 |
7,232 |
6,949 |
|
25-29 |
6,184 |
5,661 |
6,216 |
6,099 |
6,751 |
6,541 |
7,938 |
7,565 |
|
30-34 |
6,563 |
6,161 |
5,941 |
5,576 |
6,149 |
5,953 |
6,765 |
6,661 |
|
35-39 |
7,828 |
7,376 |
6,489 |
6,178 |
5,877 |
5,633 |
6,260 |
6,027 |
|
40-44 |
7,403 |
7,613 |
7,956 |
7,661 |
6,454 |
6,254 |
5,970 |
5,767 |
|
45-49 |
6,818 |
6,949 |
7,481 |
7,659 |
7,869 |
7,699 |
6,491 |
6,351 |
|
50-54 |
6,295 |
6,481 |
6,863 |
7,121 |
7,404 |
7,883 |
7,991 |
7,907 |
|
55-59 |
5,143 |
5,234 |
6,428 |
6,761 |
6,833 |
7,171 |
7,466 |
8,065 |
|
60-64 |
4,179 |
4,206 |
5,244 |
5,394 |
6,317 |
6,744 |
6,731 |
7,200 |
|
65-69 |
3,718 |
3,920 |
4,069 |
4,174 |
4,882 |
5,220 |
6,051 |
6,657 |
|
70-74 |
3,196 |
3,662 |
3,262 |
3,794 |
3,669 |
3,962 |
4,489 |
5,064 |
|
75-79 |
2,359 |
3,261 |
2,624 |
3,259 |
2,784 |
3,348 |
3,176 |
3,685 |
|
80-84 |
1,438 |
2,272 |
1,715 |
2,751 |
1,937 |
2,623 |
2,164 |
2,831 |
|
85-89 |
544 |
1,235 |
853 |
1,595 |
954 |
1,811 |
1,257 |
1,911 |
|
90+ |
176 |
665 |
233 |
808 |
400 |
1,024 |
561 |
1,411 |
Notes:
For more information contact an Epidemiologist in the Knowledge Management Division at 613-549-1232.
Source: Population Projections, 2013, Ontario MOHLTC, IntelliHEALTH Ontario, extracted July 9, 2013